Will Marc Marquez stay next year as contracted? Rumour has it he's on his way but I'm not so sure.
Here are the parameters
1. How rich is he?
2. How much does he lose by breaking the contract?
3. How much does he want it?
4. How many years left to race?
I think 1 almost certainly trumps 2, and if he were to jump he would still be earning a fortune at the next seat. I also see no evidence that money motivates him.
On 3, I reckon there's still fire in the belly, but it's being suppressed by having to ride 'carefully'. That Honda is slightly evil.
And 4, at least 5 years, plenty to have a transitional year and still win races in the next 4.
So on those criteria I'd definitely jump. The only thing that would stop me would be loyalty to Honda. But on the other hand, if Honda aren't pulling their weight as a factory, why commit to them. He only has one life, but Honda can employ other riders ad nauseum.